Editor’s Note: One of the most well-judged and detailed sources for ongoing updates on the Ukraine slipperiness is the Ukraine Mismatch Update from the Institute for the Study of War. The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) is a 501(c)(3) organization and produces strictly non-partisan, non-ideological, fact-based research. ISW seeks to promote an informed understanding of war and military wires through comprehensive, independent, and wieldy open-source research and analysis. ISW’s research is made misogynist to the unstipulated public, military practitioners, policymakers, and media members. Providing a daily synthesis of key events related to the Russian overstepping versus Ukraine, ISW updates may goody cybersecurity, information governance, and legal discovery professionals as they follow the business, information technology, and legal trends and trajectories impacted by and stemming from the current Ukraine conflict.
Assessment and Maps*
Ukraine Mismatch Assessments – An Overview in Maps
- Institute for the Study of War (ISW), Russia Team
- Critical Threats Project (CTP), American Enterprise Institute
General Assessment Background InfoÂ
- ISW systematically publishes Russian wayfarers assessments that include maps highlighting the assessed tenancy of terrain in Ukraine and main Russian maneuver axes.
- These maps plicate daily synthetic products that imbricate key events related to renewed Russian overstepping versus Ukraine.
The Russian Offensive Wayfarers Assessments
- September 11, 2022
- By Kateryna Stepanenko, Karolina Hird, Grace Mappes, and Frederick W. Kagan
Key Development
- Ukrainian forces have inflicted a major operational defeat on Russia, recapturing scrutinizingly all Kharkiv Oblast in a rapid counter-offensive. The Ukrainian success resulted from skillful wayfarers diamond and execution that included efforts to maximize the impact of Western weapons systems such as HIMARS.
Key Takeaways
- Ukrainian forces have inflicted a major operational defeat on Russia, recapturing scrutinizingly all Kharkiv Oblast in a rapid counter-offensive
- Ukrainian authorities shut lanugo the last zippy reactor at the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant on September 11.
- The Russian Ministry of Defense confirmed that Russian forces are withdrawing from positions throughout all but easternmost Kharkiv Oblast.
- Russian milbloggers have specified the Oskil River that runs from Kupyansk to Izyum as the new frontline pursuit Russian withdrawal from positions in eastern Kharkiv Oblast.
- Ukrainian forces have wide into Vovchansk and Velykyi Burluk, just south of the international border.
- Ukrainian forces protract to fight positional battles and self-mastery strikes on Russian military, logistics, and transportation resources withal the Southern Axis.
- Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks in the Avdiivka and Bakhmut areas.
- Russian authorities are standing to pull gainsay power from various external sources to support operations in Ukraine and are struggling to recoup volunteers.
- The success of recent Ukrainian counteroffensives likely unsalaried to the Russian utterance that theft referenda will be indefinitely postponed.
Read the well-constructed update.
- September 10, 2022
- By Kateryna Stepanenko, Grace Mappes, George Barros, Angela Howard, and Mason Clark
Key Development
- The Ukrainian counteroffensive in Kharkiv Oblast is routing Russian forces and collapsing Russia’s northern Donbas axis. Russian forces are not conducting a controlled withdrawal and are hurriedly fleeing southeastern Kharkiv Oblast to escape encirclement virtually Izyum.
Key Takeaways
- Ukrainian forces in Kharkiv Oblast are collapsing Russia’s northern Donbas axis, and Ukrainian forces will likely recapture Izyum itself in the next 48 hours.
- The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) spoken the withdrawal of troops from the Balakliya-Izyum line on September 10, and the Russian MoD’s failure to set constructive information conditions is collapsing the Russian information space.
- The withdrawal utterance and occupation authorities’ failure to organize evacuation measures is remoter alienating the Russian milblogger and Russian nationalist communities that support the Kremlin’s grandiose vision of capturing the entirety of Ukraine.
- Ukrainian forces reached positions within 15–25km of the Russo-Ukrainian verge in northeastern Kharkiv Oblast, Izyum’s northern outskirts, and Lyman’s south and southwestern outskirts, and captured the western half of Kupyansk.
- Russian forces are reinforcing frontline positions in Kherson Oblast while Ukrainian forces self-mastery positional battles and protract their interdiction wayfarers versus Russian logistics lines.
- Russian forces conducted limited ground assaults north of Kharkiv City, south of Bakhmut, and west of Donetsk City.
- Russian recruitment drives are generating some criticism among Russian milbloggers and regions.
- Russian forces are reportedly intensifying filtration measures in Kherson and Zaporizhia Oblasts in response to Ukrainian counteroffensives on the Southern Axis.
Read the well-constructed update.
- September 9, 2022
- By Kateryna Stepanenko, Grace Mappes, George Barros, Layne Philipson, and Mason Clark
Key Development
- The Kremlin is refusing to publicly write Ukrainian successes in Kharkiv Oblast, but the counteroffensive likely prompted Russian President Vladimir Putin to convene a meeting with top Russian security and political officials on September 9
Key Takeaways
- Ukrainian forces have captured an unscientific 2,500 square kilometers in Kharkiv Oblast in the Kharkiv counteroffensive as of September 9.
- The Kremlin is rushing resources to Kharkiv Oblast in response to constructive Ukrainian operations.
- Ukrainian forces reached the outskirts of Kupyansk and are up-and-coming on Izyum from the northwest, north, northeast, and southeast as of September 9 and will likely sever Russian ground lines of liaison (GLOCS) to Izyum within the coming days.
- Ukrainian forces may have wide north of Hrushivka towards a Russian logistics hub in Velykyi Burluk, northeastern Kharkiv Oblast.
- Ukrainian forces are standing counteroffensive operations in southern Ukraine, including interdicting Russian GLOCS, degrading Russian morale.
- Russian forces conducted ground assaults north of Kharkiv City and wideness the Eastern Axis.
- The United Nations released a report detailing poor Russian treatment of Ukrainian POWs and detained civilians.
Read the well-constructed update.
- September 8, 2022
- Kateryna Stepanenko, Grace Mappes, George Barros, Layne Philipson, and Mason Clark
Key Development
- Ukrainian successes on the Kharkiv City-Izyum line are creating fissures within the Russian information space and eroding conviction in Russian writ to a stratum not seen since a failed Russian river crossing in mid-May.
Key Takeaways
- Ukrainian successes on the Kharkiv City-Izyum line are creating fissures within the Russian information space and eroding conviction in Russian writ to a stratum not seen since a failed Russian river crossing in mid-May.
- Ukrainian forces in the Kharkiv Oblast counteroffensives wide to within 20 kilometers of Russia’s key logistical node in Kupyansk on September 8.
- Ukrainian forces will likely capture Kupyansk in the next 72 hours, severely degrading but not completely severing Russian ground lines of liaison (GLOCs) to Izyum.
- Ukrainian forces are standing to target Russian GLOCs, command-and-control points, and weaponry depots in Kherson Oblast.
- Russian occupation authorities protract to intensify crackdowns and filtration measures to prorogue Ukrainian partisans and pro-Ukrainian saboteurs.
- Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks wideness the Eastern Axis.
Read the well-constructed update.
- September 7, 2022
- By Karolina Hird, Grace Mappes, George Barros, Layne Philipson, and Mason Clark
Key Development
- Russian President Vladimir Putin attempted to deny the International Atomic Energy Agency’s (IAEA) September 6 report on the situation at the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP).
Key Takeaways
- Ukrainian forces are skillfully exploiting Russia’s deployment of forces yonder from the Izyum-Kharkiv area to retake territory and threaten Russian GLOCs in the area, prompting demoralized responses from Russian milbloggers.
- Russian President Vladimir Putin attempted to deny the International Atomic Energy Agency’s (IAEA) September 6 report on the situation at the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP).
- Ukrainian forces unfurled strikes on Russian logistics nodes, manpower and equipment concentrations, transportation networks, and writ and tenancy points in Kherson Oblast.
- Russian and Ukrainian sources reported kinetic worriedness in northern Kherson Oblast and in western Kherson Oblast withal the Kherson-Mykolaiv border.
- Russian forces conducted ground attacks north of Kharkiv City, northwest of Slovyansk, northeast of Siversk, south and northeast of Bakhmut, and northwest of Donetsk City.
- Ukrainian forces gained 400 square kilometers of territory northwest of Izyum on September 6-7 as part of an opportunistic and highly constructive counteroffensive in southeastern Kharkiv Oblast.
- Russian occupation authorities spoken November 4 as the potential stage for theft referenda in occupied areas of Ukraine.
Read the well-constructed update.
We do not report in detail on Russian war crimes considering those activities are well-covered in Western media and do not directly stupefy the military operations we are assessing and forecasting. We will protract to evaluate and report on the effects of these criminal activities on the Ukrainian military and population and specifically on gainsay in Ukrainian urban areas. We utterly condemn these Russian violations of the laws of armed conflict, Geneva Conventions, and humanity plane though we do not describe them in these reports.
Chronology of Maps from September 7 – 11, 2022 – Mouseover to Scroll
Ukraine Mismatch Maps - 090722-091122
See the Institute for the Study of War Interactive Map of the Russian Invasion
Read the latest Ukraine Mismatch updates from the Institute for the Study of WarÂ
* Shared with uncontrived express permission from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).
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ISW’s research methodology relies on both primary and secondary sources, enabling researchers to develop a comprehensive understanding of the situation on the ground. In order to unriddle military and political developments in any given area, ISW’s research analysts must wholly understand the systems of enemy and friendly forces. They must moreover understand the population demographics, physical terrain, politics, and history of that area. This lays the tampering foundation for understanding the reasons for particular developments and fulfilling their prescribed research objectives. ISW analysts moreover spend time in places like Iraq, Afghanistan, and elsewhere in order to proceeds a largest understanding of the security and political situation and to evaluate the implementation of current strategies and policies. Our researchers compile data and unriddle trends, producing a granular wringer of developments in areas of research, producing an accurate, high-resolution, timely, and thorough picture of the situation. ISW’s research methodology guarantees its success and transferral to improving the nation’s worthiness to execute military operations, unzip strategic objectives, and respond to emerging problems that may require the use of American military power.
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Additional Reading
- [Annual Update] International Cyber Law in Practice: Interactive Toolkit
- Data Embassies: Sovereignty, Security, and Continuity for Nation-States
Source: ComplexDiscovery
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